Rev Dennis D McCarty, Republic Guest ColumnistWere we designed or evolved?
   THIS will be the first of three columns I’ll write on evolution, creationism and so-called intelligent design. We’ll start at a place called Ellesmere Island, which lies north of Greenland.    Vikings explored Ellesmere Island more than 1,000 years ago, but it was way too cold, even for them. And it still is, for almost everybody. It’s as big as Nebraska, with a population of only 168 people.    But in 1999, University of Chicago paleontologist Neil Shubin went there anyway, to hunt for a fossil link between land animals and the swampdwelling fishes from which land animals first evolved.    You’d think the Arctic Circle would be a terrible place to hunt for fossils of swamp animals. But in 2004, Shubin’s team dug up the skeleton of a creature they gleefully called a “fish-a-pod.” They gave it the scientific name, Tiktaalic.    It had the tail fins, gills and heavy scales of a lobefinned fish. But it had the ribs and neck of an amphibian. Its head had fish and amphibian characteristics. And it had front legs, with lizard-style leg bones and wrist joint, but fins instead of toes. It breathed water but could crawl onto land and feast on the huge bugs, which also left fossils there.    Shubin knew Ellesmere Island would be a good place to hunt for this “missing link,” because he’d done his homework on evolutionary theory and continental drift. Swamp on equator    Three hundred seventy-five million years ago, Ellesmere Island was a swamp on the earth’s equator. Geologic evidence showed how it had slowly moved north due to continental drift. Cold though it is, its tropical past makes it a perfect “missing link” hunting ground.    Shubin’s team found its proof as surely as detectives following clues at a crime scene. If you want to say they’re wrong — then you have to explain how swamp fossils got up to the Arctic Circle, and how Shubin knew to search for them there.    Basically, that’s all science is. You observe the evidence, you try to explain how it got there and then you make a prediction to test your explanation. Then you look for more evidence to confirm or refute the prediction.    We test scientific theories every time we use modern technology. If I flip a light switch, I can almost always predict the light will go on. The theory of electricity has long since been proven (even though, like evolution, it’s “just” a theory.) It’s not a matter of mental attitude or faith. It depends totally on the wiring.    Back at Ellesmere Island, lobe-finned fishes used their front fins to push themselves up off swamp bottoms to gulp air at the surface. Tiktaalik’s ancestors used those fins to pull themselves ashore.    Fins slowly evolved into legs and the lobe-fins’ air sacs evolved into lungs. On land, Tiktaalic could escape its enemies and find lots of food. Huge advantages that propelled the evolutionary process.    Nothing random about it.    The same thing happened with feathers, which dinosaurs used for insulation long before birds adapted them for flight. And the human throat, which Lucy and other early hominids used for swallowing and grunting, but we now use for human speech. Theory testable    Evolutionary theory and continental drift are testable. That is, they let you predict what you’ll find if you do further research. Shubin used them to predict what his team would find in a seemingly outlandish place such as Ellesmere Island. Their prediction was 100 percent correct. Theory proven, once again.    Again, that’s all science is. You observe; you develop a theory, and then you make a prediction based on the theory. If predictions are consistently correct, the theory’s also correct. Shubin’s prediction was correct. So were Charles Darwin’s. (Like, say, that the earliest human ancestors would be found in Africa.)    Creationism, on the other hand, doesn’t use predictions and testing. Creationism uses strategy.    The creationist says, “I must enforce the Infallible Word — by whatever means necessary.” If a prediction turns out to be wrong, creationist think tanks use strategy to explain mistakes.    For 150 years, creationists have predicted that no “missing links” would be found. But we’ve been finding them all that time. Archaropteryx is a link between birds and reptiles. Lucy is a link between humans and apes. (There are plenty more.) Tiktaalik is a link between fish and amphibians.    Ambulocetus is a link between whales and land mammals. And there are hundreds more. Evolutionary theory predicted they would all be found. Creationism predicted they wouldn’t. Who was right?    Creationist think tanks can only pretend such fossils don’t exist, even though they do — or make a new excuse each time one is found. But they can’t keep the darned things from turning up.    In my next column, I’ll talk about how creationism does in the courts. The Rev. Dennis McCarty is a Unitarian Universalist minister in Columbus. His opinions are his own, and not necessarily shared by members of his church. He can be reached by e-mail at columnists@therepublic.com

 

last updated: 01/08/2009